Desarrolladora Homex, S.A.B. de C.V. announced its guidance for 2009. The Company expects to perform favorably in the year ahead with revenue growth in the range of 8 to 10 percent and EBITDA(1) margin in the range of 23.0 percent to 24.0 percent bolstered by continuing demand for affordable entry-level homes and the favorable mortgage conditions to finance them under federal housing programs.
During 2009, Homex expects challenging macroeconomic conditions to prevail across the globe. The Mexican economy, however, is better prepared than ever before to face such conditions. The Central Bank of Mexico has repeatedly articulated confidence in its estimates for economic growth in 2009, which, at the low-end of its range, is expected to be at the rate of 0.5 percent. Inflation is expected to stabilize at 4.0 percent, thus reducing pressure in the purchasing power of Mexican families.
At the same time, macroeconomic conditions have created a more challenging environment for the homebuilding industry in Mexico, where sofoles and bank mortgage origination programs have experienced a slowdown during the last quarter of the year. This potentially limits growth for homebuilders in the middle income and high affordable segments. Despite the slowdown, the Housing market will continue to create business opportunities for Homex.
“Homex’s fundamentals remain solid, and we believe the housing industry in Mexico will continue to benefit from pent-up demand for affordable entry-level homes supported by mortgage availability for this segment. We are confident that, as the leader in this segment, Homex will be able to take further advantage of demand and expand our offerings in this space by providing quality homes at affordable prices and adapting to the needs of our customers,” commented Gerardo de Nicolas, Chief Executive Officer of Homex.
INFONAVIT, the main mortgage provider in Mexico, announced its target to provide 500,000 mortgages in 2009, and FOVISSSTE, the housing fund for Federal Government employees, has also announced important targets for the year to come in the range of 100,000 mortgages. These two institutions will be fundamental for the housing industry and for Homex in particular, as approximately 95% of the Company’s clients are expected to obtain their mortgages through these two institutions. Homex’s product mix and focus will continue to be in the affordable-entry and high affordable entry level.
For 2009, Homex will follow a conservative operational strategy focused on privileging cash generation. Significantly lower land investments as well as measures to reduce expenses and improve the working capital cycle through the year have already been taken and are in the process of implementation.
“We look forward to 2009 with cautious optimism,” said CEO de Nicolas.
(1) EBITDA Margin is the result of dividing EBITDA by total revenues. EBITDA is defined as net income plus depreciation and amortization, net comprehensive financing cost, income tax expense and employee statutory profit sharing expense.
Wednesday, December 3 at 9:00 am Central Time, 10:00 am Eastern Time, the Company will host a conference call to address in more detail its 2009 financial plan. The investment community can join by dialing 719-325-4764 for international participants and 877-852-6561 for U.S. participants. Please call 10 minutes prior to start time and request the Homex call. The pass code for the call is 8140868.